Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Paysandu with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on October 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 11.6% | 61.2% | +49.6 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 32.4% | 76.4% | +43.9 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 38.0% | 81.7% | +43.7 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 24.5% | 66.2% | +41.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 42.2% | 1.3% | −40.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 30.5% | 67.6% | +37.1 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 13.7% | 50.1% | +36.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 61.5% | 96.4% | +34.9 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 38.4% | 4.6% | −33.8 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 41.2% | 73.5% | +32.3 |
