Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Corinthians with a 17.8% chance, Palmeiras beat Juventude with a 22.5% chance, Coritiba beat Ponte Preta with a 19.0% chance, and Goiás beat São Paulo with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 4 (before the first match) against those on October 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Libertadores | 20.2% | 76.4% | +56.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 57.3% | 1.3% | −56.0 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 37.3% | 81.7% | +44.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 8.3% | 50.1% | +41.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 21.4% | 61.2% | +39.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 31.2% | 67.6% | +36.4 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 33.6% | 66.2% | +32.6 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 42.8% | 73.5% | +30.6 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 41.5% | 70.0% | +28.4 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 28.0% | 0.2% | −27.8 |
