Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Internacional with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 43.5% | 31.2% | −12.3 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 45.6% | 33.8% | −11.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 31.1% | 41.3% | +10.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 60.1% | 68.8% | +8.8 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 25.0% | 33.6% | +8.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 65.9% | 57.3% | −8.6 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 37.6% | 46.1% | +8.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 28.5% | 20.2% | −8.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 25.8% | 17.6% | −8.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 65.2% | 73.4% | +8.2 |
