Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat São Paulo with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Champion | 14.0% | 78.0% | +64.0 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 17.6% | 78.5% | +60.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 46.1% | 99.3% | +53.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 12.0% | 63.2% | +51.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 51.7% | 0.7% | −50.9 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 52.1% | 6.3% | −45.7 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 35.6% | 80.2% | +44.6 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 32.9% | 75.0% | +42.1 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 35.6% | 77.4% | +41.8 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 39.5% | 0.7% | −38.8 |
