Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Paysandu with a 22.6% chance and Santos beat Goiás with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 3 (before the first match) against those on July 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 29.6% | 16.6% | −12.9 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 30.2% | 18.8% | −11.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 36.9% | 47.4% | +10.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 64.5% | 54.1% | −10.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 37.7% | 47.4% | +9.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 59.9% | 50.9% | −9.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 49.4% | 58.0% | +8.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 49.5% | 58.1% | +8.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 27.0% | 18.6% | −8.4 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 23.3% | 15.5% | −7.8 |
