Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Fluminense with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 26 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Champion | 6.0% | 78.0% | +72.0 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 29.0% | 99.3% | +70.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 62.8% | 0.7% | −62.1 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 21.7% | 78.5% | +56.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 7.4% | 63.2% | +55.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 50.7% | 0.1% | −50.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 29.2% | 79.4% | +50.2 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 27.8% | 77.4% | +49.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 54.7% | 6.3% | −48.4 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 34.2% | 80.2% | +46.1 |
