Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
11 matches played out of 11: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 5 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Juventude with a 22.2% chance, Brasiliense beat Flamengo with a 16.1% chance, Internacional beat São Paulo with a 20.3% chance, Figueirense beat Botafogo with a 21.1% chance, and Fluminense beat Corinthians with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 19 (before the first match) against those on June 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Libertadores | 48.5% | 62.8% | +14.4 |
| Juventude | Libertadores | 41.9% | 27.7% | −14.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 41.1% | 54.7% | +13.6 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 70.8% | 57.8% | −13.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 49.5% | 61.8% | +12.3 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 39.9% | 29.0% | −10.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 18.5% | 29.2% | +10.7 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 26.1% | 35.8% | +9.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 24.1% | 14.7% | −9.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 32.4% | 23.5% | −8.9 |
