Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Goiás with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 30 (before the first match) against those on December 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 91.2% | 52.7% | −38.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 8.9% | 47.3% | +38.4 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 31.9% | 68.7% | +36.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 53.9% | 20.7% | −33.3 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 31.4% | <0.1% | −31.4 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 37.1% | 64.2% | +27.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 62.9% | 35.9% | −27.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 52.9% | 69.8% | +16.9 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 28.4% | 43.3% | +14.8 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 58.3% | 69.2% | +10.9 |
