Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat São Paulo with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 23.1% | 100% | +76.9 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 30.8% | 100% | +69.2 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 69.2% | 0% | −69.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 47.3% | 0% | −47.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 52.7% | 100% | +47.3 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 43.3% | 0% | −43.3 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 37.7% | 0% | −37.7 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 35.9% | 0% | −35.8 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 64.2% | 100% | +35.8 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 68.7% | 100% | +31.3 |
