Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 9 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Criciúma with a 24.3% chance and Bahia beat Corinthians with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 23 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 20.5% | 53.9% | +33.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 32.6% | 62.9% | +30.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 67.4% | 37.1% | −30.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 3.4% | 30.4% | +27.0 |
| Criciúma | Sudamericana | 25.9% | 8.9% | −17.0 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 58.6% | 41.7% | −17.0 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 41.4% | 58.3% | +17.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 66.5% | 52.9% | −13.6 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 16.4% | 4.9% | −11.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 20.2% | 8.9% | −11.4 |
