Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Guarani with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Sudamericana | 59.1% | 27.5% | −31.6 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 79.2% | 53.7% | −25.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 42.2% | 66.5% | +24.2 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 37.1% | 58.6% | +21.5 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 62.9% | 41.4% | −21.5 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 66.8% | 86.9% | +20.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 51.7% | 32.6% | −19.1 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 48.3% | 67.4% | +19.0 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 21.4% | 37.6% | +16.1 |
| Criciúma | Sudamericana | 41.7% | 25.9% | −15.7 |
