Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Atletico-MG with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 23.4% | 51.7% | +28.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 75.9% | 48.3% | −27.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 39.6% | 12.7% | −27.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 59.9% | 86.3% | +26.5 |
| Criciúma | Sudamericana | 62.2% | 41.7% | −20.5 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 70.5% | 90.7% | +20.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 44.5% | 26.4% | −18.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 24.5% | 42.2% | +17.8 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 28.8% | 15.2% | −13.7 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 15.2% | 28.0% | +12.8 |
