Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Paysandu with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 49.7% | 75.6% | +26.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 39.8% | 24.5% | −15.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 44.7% | 59.9% | +15.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 54.7% | 39.6% | −15.1 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 10.2% | 24.5% | +14.3 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 30.9% | 44.5% | +13.5 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 63.1% | 75.9% | +12.8 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 71.5% | 84.1% | +12.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 35.8% | 23.4% | −12.4 |
| Guarani | Sudamericana | 69.2% | 57.4% | −11.8 |
