Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Grêmio with a 24.2% chance, Goiás beat Vitória with a 24.6% chance, and Internacional beat Vasco with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 26 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 52.7% | 72.4% | +19.7 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 29.8% | 11.5% | −18.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 19.0% | 35.8% | +16.8 |
| Paysandu | Sudamericana | 35.6% | 19.5% | −16.0 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 68.4% | 54.7% | −13.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 31.3% | 44.7% | +13.4 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 75.9% | 63.1% | −12.8 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 68.6% | 79.3% | +10.7 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 61.3% | 71.5% | +10.3 |
| Guarani | Sudamericana | 59.4% | 69.2% | +9.8 |
