Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Corinthians with a 20.7% chance and São Paulo beat São Caetano with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 71.8% | 92.2% | +20.4 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 28.0% | 7.8% | −20.2 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 28.7% | 13.4% | −15.4 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 40.2% | 54.4% | +14.2 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 55.1% | 68.6% | +13.5 |
| Paysandu | Sudamericana | 22.3% | 35.6% | +13.3 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 31.4% | 18.5% | −12.9 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 66.0% | 75.8% | +9.8 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 52.9% | 61.3% | +8.4 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 60.3% | 52.7% | −7.6 |
