Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Athletico-PR with a 23.9% chance, Goiás beat Ponte Preta with a 24.8% chance, and Grêmio beat Juventude with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 74.6% | 52.9% | −21.7 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 38.3% | 55.1% | +16.8 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 18.0% | 33.2% | +15.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 21.6% | 36.8% | +15.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 52.4% | 37.3% | −15.1 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 43.1% | 28.7% | −14.4 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 17.9% | 31.4% | +13.4 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 21.4% | 31.4% | +10.0 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 23.7% | 13.7% | −10.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 12.9% | 21.2% | +8.3 |
