Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 8 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Cruzeiro with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 15 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 39.4% | 18.0% | −21.4 |
| Paysandu | Sudamericana | 28.6% | 16.3% | −12.3 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 28.3% | 17.9% | −10.4 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 34.3% | 43.2% | +8.9 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 29.7% | 38.3% | +8.6 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 51.6% | 60.3% | +8.6 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 66.3% | 74.6% | +8.3 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 44.5% | 52.4% | +7.9 |
| Guarani | Sudamericana | 59.4% | 66.7% | +7.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 84.6% | 77.8% | −6.8 |
