Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Guarani with a 22.4% chance and Grêmio beat Internacional with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 9 (before the first match) against those on October 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Relegation | 84.7% | 66.3% | −18.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 66.7% | 84.6% | +17.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 33.1% | 15.4% | −17.7 |
| Guarani | Sudamericana | 73.5% | 59.4% | −14.1 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 47.1% | 36.7% | −10.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 28.6% | 19.3% | −9.3 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 35.6% | 44.5% | +8.9 |
| Paysandu | Sudamericana | 20.3% | 28.6% | +8.3 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 26.1% | 34.3% | +8.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 21.3% | 29.0% | +7.7 |
