Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 9 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 25 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 31.0% | 46.7% | +15.7 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 36.6% | 22.6% | −14.0 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 28.7% | 15.8% | −12.8 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 31.1% | 42.8% | +11.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 50.5% | 61.3% | +10.8 |
| São Caetano | Sudamericana | 57.3% | 68.0% | +10.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 45.0% | 37.4% | −7.6 |
| Guarani | Libertadores | 10.4% | 3.5% | −6.9 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 25.9% | 20.0% | −5.9 |
| Santos | Champion | 11.5% | 5.7% | −5.8 |
