Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Atletico-MG with a 20.5% chance, Goiás beat Grêmio with a 22.6% chance, and Flamengo beat Fluminense with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on August 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 38.5% | 24.1% | −14.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 33.0% | 47.0% | +14.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 46.0% | 59.5% | +13.5 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 21.9% | 10.2% | −11.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 21.5% | 32.3% | +10.8 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 24.6% | 34.9% | +10.3 |
| Santos | Champion | 29.5% | 20.8% | −8.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 35.1% | 26.7% | −8.4 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 44.6% | 36.2% | −8.4 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 50.4% | 58.4% | +8.0 |
