Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Athletico-PR with a 22.4% chance and Fluminense beat Internacional with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Relegation | 40.5% | 26.1% | −14.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 59.5% | 46.9% | −12.6 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 34.1% | 46.4% | +12.3 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 28.6% | 40.7% | +12.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 32.3% | 21.9% | −10.5 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 36.2% | 46.0% | +9.8 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 39.4% | 48.6% | +9.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 47.0% | 38.1% | −9.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 81.6% | 90.0% | +8.4 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 16.5% | 24.9% | +8.4 |
