Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Atletico-MG with a 23.3% chance, Vitória beat Figueirense with a 23.6% chance, and Internacional beat Ponte Preta with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 53.7% | 38.5% | −15.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 32.6% | 46.0% | +13.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 45.8% | 33.0% | −12.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 38.0% | 49.3% | +11.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 29.1% | 18.4% | −10.7 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 13.5% | 23.6% | +10.1 |
| Santos | Champion | 20.6% | 29.5% | +8.9 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 41.8% | 50.4% | +8.6 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 43.5% | 51.7% | +8.2 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 14.5% | 7.6% | −7.0 |
