Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 6 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Corinthians with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 3 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 38.8% | 27.2% | −11.6 |
| São Caetano | Libertadores | 16.1% | 25.5% | +9.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 23.6% | 32.6% | +9.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 33.2% | 24.2% | −9.0 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 21.0% | 29.2% | +8.2 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 49.4% | 41.8% | −7.6 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 21.9% | 29.4% | +7.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 22.0% | 29.1% | +7.2 |
| Criciúma | Libertadores | 22.7% | 15.6% | −7.1 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 21.8% | 28.7% | +6.9 |
