Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 4 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat São Paulo with a 18.1% chance and Goiás beat Figueirense with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 44.0% | 33.2% | −10.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 13.1% | 23.6% | +10.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 42.3% | 52.6% | +10.3 |
| Paysandu | Sudamericana | 20.8% | 30.4% | +9.6 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 28.2% | 21.0% | −7.2 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 24.5% | 17.7% | −6.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 40.6% | 47.4% | +6.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 88.2% | 81.7% | −6.5 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 28.3% | 22.1% | −6.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 45.4% | 39.2% | −6.2 |
