Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
12 matches played out of 12: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Vitória with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 24 (before the first match) against those on July 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Libertadores | 38.9% | 27.5% | −11.5 |
| Coritiba | Libertadores | 43.9% | 54.3% | +10.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 30.4% | 20.1% | −10.2 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 35.3% | 43.1% | +7.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Sudamericana | 37.6% | 45.3% | +7.7 |
| Guarani | Sudamericana | 36.2% | 43.8% | +7.6 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 29.7% | 22.4% | −7.3 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 10.0% | 16.5% | +6.5 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 32.2% | 37.9% | +5.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 38.9% | 44.4% | +5.5 |
