Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Chelsea with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 1 (before the first match) against those on February 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champion | 59.4% | 42.0% | −17.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 58.7% | 45.9% | −12.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 28.3% | 40.5% | +12.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 45.1% | 56.2% | +11.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 23.8% | 33.1% | +9.3 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 17.8% | 24.7% | +6.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 8.8% | 14.0% | +5.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 86.4% | 91.5% | +5.1 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Conference League | 11.8% | 16.0% | +4.3 |
| Chelsea | Conference League | 7.5% | 3.3% | −4.2 |
