Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Luton Town with a 15.2% chance and Manchester United beat Aston Villa with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 5 (before the first match) against those on February 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 56.2% | 37.9% | −18.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 45.9% | 57.7% | +11.9 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 33.1% | 41.7% | +8.6 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 25.7% | 32.7% | +7.0 |
| Aston Villa | Conference League | 10.3% | 17.2% | +6.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 33.1% | 26.6% | −6.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 12.2% | 18.7% | +6.5 |
| West Ham | Conference League | 12.2% | 5.9% | −6.3 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 8.3% | 2.3% | −6.1 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 24.7% | 30.3% | +5.6 |
