Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 10 (before the first match) against those on March 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 13.8% | 50.0% | +36.2 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 13.7% | 45.4% | +31.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 65.7% | 37.6% | −28.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 34.8% | 61.0% | +26.2 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 83.2% | 99.4% | +16.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 83.5% | 99.5% | +16.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 15.7% | 0.2% | −15.6 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 83.5% | 99.0% | +15.5 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 84.7% | 99.1% | +14.4 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 14.3% | 1.5% | −12.8 |
