Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Manchester United with a 11.2% chance and Sheffield United beat Brentford with a 15.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 7 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 53.9% | 65.7% | +11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 34.9% | 23.2% | −11.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 24.6% | 34.8% | +10.2 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 57.8% | 67.1% | +9.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 25.0% | 15.7% | −9.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 19.1% | 10.4% | −8.7 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 34.7% | 41.4% | +6.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 19.5% | 13.3% | −6.3 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 12.0% | 5.9% | −6.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 15.0% | 20.7% | +5.7 |
