Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Crystal Palace with a 19.0% chance, Everton beat Newcastle with a 23.6% chance, and West Ham beat Tottenham with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 3 (before the first match) against those on December 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 31.6% | 19.5% | −12.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 36.9% | 25.0% | −11.9 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 42.9% | 53.9% | +11.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 34.8% | 24.6% | −10.2 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 28.1% | 18.1% | −9.9 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 21.9% | 12.0% | −9.9 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 16.6% | 24.0% | +7.3 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 50.8% | 57.8% | +7.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 75.9% | 82.4% | +6.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 28.2% | 34.7% | +6.4 |
