Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield United beat Wolverhampton with a 24.3% chance, Nottingham beat Aston Villa with a 21.4% chance, and Chelsea beat Tottenham with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 31.5% | 46.8% | +15.2 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 23.9% | 35.6% | +11.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 69.7% | 59.5% | −10.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 39.2% | 30.1% | −9.1 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 44.9% | 53.7% | +8.8 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 16.6% | 8.9% | −7.7 |
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 77.2% | 69.7% | −7.6 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 71.5% | 79.1% | +7.6 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 18.7% | 11.8% | −7.0 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 83.4% | 90.2% | +6.9 |
