Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat Chelsea with a 23.7% chance and Everton beat West Ham with a 15.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 55.2% | 44.9% | −10.3 |
| Everton | Relegation | 25.2% | 15.2% | −10.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 31.2% | 23.9% | −7.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 67.5% | 74.7% | +7.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 15.0% | 8.0% | −7.0 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 46.7% | 53.6% | +6.9 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 77.1% | 83.4% | +6.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 67.2% | 73.4% | +6.2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 24.3% | 18.3% | −6.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 65.8% | 71.5% | +5.7 |
