Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Tottenham with a 22.8% chance, Everton beat Crystal Palace with a 20.6% chance, and Bournemouth beat Newcastle with a 13.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 53.7% | 39.5% | −14.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 35.6% | 23.2% | −12.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 59.5% | 48.5% | −11.0 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 30.1% | 39.9% | +9.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 70.6% | 80.1% | +9.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 16.7% | 24.4% | +7.8 |
| Luton Town | Relegation | 52.4% | 59.5% | +7.1 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 79.1% | 85.4% | +6.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 70.2% | 76.3% | +6.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 14.8% | 9.5% | −5.3 |
