Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 19.9% chance and Southampton beat Chelsea with a 16.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 45.8% | 34.4% | −11.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 33.7% | 23.3% | −10.4 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 52.1% | 61.5% | +9.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 26.7% | 36.2% | +9.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 31.5% | 22.2% | −9.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 33.8% | 24.9% | −8.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 39.2% | 46.3% | +7.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 36.0% | 43.1% | +7.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 83.4% | 89.2% | +5.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.9% | 78.2% | +5.3 |
