Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Nottingham beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 20.1% chance and Brentford beat Chelsea with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 23 (before the first match) against those on April 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | Relegation | 81.1% | 57.4% | −23.7 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 55.7% | 77.4% | +21.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 44.3% | 22.6% | −21.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 30.4% | 51.1% | +20.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 56.4% | 75.4% | +19.1 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Europa League | 29.3% | 15.9% | −13.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 87.7% | 96.1% | +8.4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 10.5% | 2.6% | −7.9 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 8.9% | 1.1% | −7.8 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 35.8% | 42.1% | +6.4 |
