Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 17.7% chance, Southampton beat Chelsea with a 8.3% chance, and Bournemouth beat Wolverhampton with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 15 (before the first match) against those on February 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 52.1% | 36.4% | −15.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 43.8% | 58.2% | +14.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 44.1% | 31.4% | −12.7 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 71.1% | 58.7% | −12.4 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 33.3% | 44.9% | +11.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 29.8% | 40.6% | +10.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 51.9% | 41.8% | −10.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 86.0% | 75.9% | −10.1 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 22.7% | 12.9% | −9.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 10.4% | 19.0% | +8.6 |
