Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Arsenal with a 15.5% chance and Wolverhampton beat Liverpool with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 23 (before the first match) against those on February 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 31.9% | 20.1% | −11.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 66.9% | 78.3% | +11.4 |
| Everton | Relegation | 57.0% | 45.8% | −11.2 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 20.1% | 30.5% | +10.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 28.3% | 38.7% | +10.4 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 66.1% | 74.4% | +8.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 15.4% | 7.4% | −8.0 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 32.2% | 24.9% | −7.2 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 53.4% | 46.3% | −7.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 14.6% | 9.5% | −5.2 |
