Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Leicester City with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 3 (before the first match) against those on October 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 43.9% | 30.7% | −13.2 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 33.7% | 22.5% | −11.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 34.6% | 24.5% | −10.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 44.6% | 52.7% | +8.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 35.4% | 42.7% | +7.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 56.5% | 63.0% | +6.5 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 15.2% | 9.1% | −6.2 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 26.3% | 32.3% | +5.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 20.8% | 25.1% | +4.3 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 10.8% | 15.0% | +4.2 |
