Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Arsenal with a 13.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 6 (before the first match) against those on April 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champions League | 44.0% | 73.0% | +29.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 43.9% | 69.8% | +25.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 46.5% | 24.2% | −22.3 |
| Everton | Relegation | 40.5% | 23.0% | −17.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 28.9% | 45.5% | +16.6 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 23.0% | 9.1% | −14.0 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 35.8% | 23.0% | −12.8 |
| Watford | Relegation | 84.4% | 95.9% | +11.5 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 14.2% | 3.2% | −11.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 8.5% | 2.6% | −5.9 |
