Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Tottenham with a 13.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 10 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Relegation | 9.1% | 76.9% | +67.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 45.5% | 92.3% | +46.8 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 69.8% | 23.1% | −46.7 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 39.2% | 76.2% | +36.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 23.0% | 0% | −23.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 58.5% | 79.1% | +20.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 41.4% | 21.0% | −20.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 19.4% | 0% | −19.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 73.0% | 92.3% | +19.3 |
| Arsenal | Conference League | 18.7% | 0% | −18.7 |
