Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat Chelsea with a 8.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 20 (before the first match) against those on April 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Champions League | 26.6% | 44.2% | +17.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 62.2% | 46.8% | −15.4 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 12.0% | 1.6% | −10.4 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 22.0% | 13.6% | −8.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 22.7% | 29.0% | +6.3 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 25.7% | 19.7% | −6.0 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 54.2% | 60.0% | +5.9 |
| West Ham | Conference League | 22.7% | 27.5% | +4.8 |
| Arsenal | Conference League | 10.8% | 15.1% | +4.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 59.0% | 62.9% | +3.9 |
