Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Wolverhampton with a 15.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 7 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Europa League | 31.9% | 74.8% | +43.0 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 30.1% | 68.6% | +38.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 26.3% | 0% | −26.3 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 38.3% | 62.7% | +24.4 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 22.1% | 0% | −22.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 23.5% | 4.9% | −18.6 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 18.0% | 0% | −18.0 |
| Watford | Relegation | 83.0% | 100% | +17.0 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 16.1% | 0% | −16.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 78.0% | 92.6% | +14.7 |
