Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Southampton with a 14.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 10 (before the first match) against those on March 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Relegation | 30.4% | 45.3% | +14.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 20.6% | 32.4% | +11.8 |
| Watford | Relegation | 86.7% | 75.0% | −11.7 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 78.4% | 67.4% | −11.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 20.8% | 31.5% | +10.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 20.1% | 9.7% | −10.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 61.1% | 70.8% | +9.6 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 48.5% | 39.6% | −8.9 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 14.8% | 6.5% | −8.3 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 25.3% | 33.3% | +8.0 |
