Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Wolverhampton with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | Relegation | 33.8% | 18.0% | −15.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 23.9% | 11.7% | −12.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 20.3% | 31.9% | +11.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 51.8% | 62.8% | +11.1 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 14.1% | 6.4% | −7.7 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 23.2% | 30.1% | +6.9 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 27.3% | 33.5% | +6.2 |
| Everton | Relegation | 18.0% | 23.5% | +5.5 |
| Watford | Relegation | 78.0% | 83.0% | +4.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 15.4% | 20.2% | +4.8 |
