Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wolverhampton beat Tottenham with a 23.9% chance and Arsenal beat Chelsea with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 10 (before the first match) against those on April 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 44.7% | <0.1% | −44.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 19.1% | 55.6% | +36.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 15.1% | 43.4% | +28.3 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 84.0% | 56.6% | −27.5 |
| Manchester United | Conference League | 21.1% | 48.3% | +27.2 |
| Watford | Relegation | 72.7% | 98.6% | +25.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 26.5% | 2.6% | −23.9 |
| Burnley | Relegation | 46.2% | 68.8% | +22.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 22.1% | 44.1% | +21.9 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 21.7% | <0.1% | −21.7 |
