Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Tottenham with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 16 (before the first match) against those on February 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Relegation | 73.0% | 44.7% | −28.3 |
| Watford | Relegation | 54.1% | 72.7% | +18.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 31.5% | 19.1% | −12.4 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 9.5% | 21.7% | +12.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 16.8% | 26.5% | +9.7 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 89.9% | 81.5% | −8.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 9.4% | 17.7% | +8.2 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 18.1% | 24.6% | +6.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 9.4% | 15.1% | +5.7 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 89.3% | 84.0% | −5.3 |
