Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Aston Villa with a 12.6% chance, Burnley beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 21.8% chance, and Tottenham beat Manchester City with a 15.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 15 (before the first match) against those on February 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Relegation | 51.6% | 35.8% | −15.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 86.3% | 73.3% | −13.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 13.2% | 25.5% | +12.3 |
| Watford | Relegation | 83.0% | 72.3% | −10.7 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 13.5% | 21.9% | +8.4 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 15.2% | 6.9% | −8.4 |
| Everton | Relegation | 9.4% | 16.0% | +6.5 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 19.2% | 12.9% | −6.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 27.3% | 33.0% | +5.8 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 20.1% | 25.1% | +5.0 |
