Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat Watford with a 19.6% chance and Newcastle beat Leeds United with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 19 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Relegation | 53.5% | 68.0% | +14.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 72.6% | 60.3% | −12.3 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 89.2% | 80.0% | −9.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 21.7% | 30.5% | +8.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 39.1% | 30.3% | −8.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 90.1% | 82.9% | −7.2 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 9.1% | 15.9% | +6.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 86.2% | 92.1% | +5.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.3% | 28.5% | −4.7 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 16.0% | 11.3% | −4.7 |
