Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 6 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Leicester City with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 15.6% | 26.8% | +11.2 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 42.9% | 32.8% | −10.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 11.3% | 18.1% | +6.8 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 45.7% | 52.1% | +6.4 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 19.2% | 25.0% | +5.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 35.7% | 30.1% | −5.7 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 22.6% | 28.0% | +5.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 10.9% | 6.0% | −4.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 45.7% | 40.9% | −4.8 |
| Leicester City | Champion | 11.0% | 6.7% | −4.3 |
