Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Leicester City with a 8.2% chance and Aston Villa beat Liverpool with a 13.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 28 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 61.7% | 42.9% | −18.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 26.0% | 41.8% | +15.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 83.7% | 69.2% | −14.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 40.3% | 26.7% | −13.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 26.4% | 13.1% | −13.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 26.7% | 15.6% | −11.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 35.0% | 45.7% | +10.7 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 62.3% | 71.1% | +8.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 15.3% | 6.6% | −8.7 |
| Everton | Champions League | 30.3% | 38.9% | +8.6 |
